« on: December 11, 2010, 03:14:55 am »
Here's what I think is going on, in a timeline:
Google needs a device to highlight the differences between Android 1+ and 2+. In order to show how far the OS has come with the big 2, they release the Nexus One. At the time, it seriously didn't get any better. This was January.
Google begins investment in NFC, probably starting as soon as spring of 2010. Eventually, this investment to pay off, but they need a better way to real time field test it in a large format. As opposed to releasing a DROID X with NFC, or myTouch 4G with NFC, they go to Samsung. Samsung has skills in mass producing a device in ten different ways. They have done it for years, and did it well with the Galaxy S series. Due to manufacturing costs including parts and labor, Samsung was able to offer Google a great deal on yet another mass produced Galaxy S device. Samsung can sell it cheap, Google can buy it cheap, Samsung can test their curved display, Google can test NFC, AND Google can test a big box type sales model. Google looks competitive, and things are going according to plan. This is happening now.
This is important now, keep in mind that 2.2-2.3 features virtually no major changes. It's all behind the scenes, figuring out how to keep Android running fast. Visually, it was changed just to keep people happy. 2.2-2.3 features none of the drastic changes 1.6-2.1 did. So when will Google release something to highlight the change between 2.3-3?
Q1-Q2 2011, Google will release the MOTOPAD. A 10" or 7" tablet with a dual core processor running a dual core optimized OS. This, is exactly why Google didn't release a dual-core Nexus S. Android isn't ready, but there are other things they needed to test first. So what about Honeycomb, Android 3, and phones? At D:Dive, Rubin said that the Honeycomb UI would makes it's way into phones. Come next year, we will have our Google Experience dual core monster. But not until Honeycomb goes live.
Then again... who knows right?